EQN-05-11

Data Trends & Rates of Change

Read growth, decline, and the steepest change from a line graph, and compute percent change over time.

~5 min readDifficulty 2/5

Reading a trend

A line graph rises when the quantity grows, falls when it shrinks, and is flat when it is unchanged. The steepest segment marks the fastest change — up or down.

Rate of change between two points

This is exactly the slope of the line between the two points.

Largest change largest value

The biggest single increase is the largest jump between consecutive points, not the tallest point. Compute consecutive differences.

Percent change over time

"Grew by what percent from year 1 to year 3" divides the rise by the year-1 value, not the latest.

Interpolation vs extrapolation

Reading a value between known points (interpolation) is fairly safe; predicting beyond the data (extrapolation) assumes the trend continues — flag it as an assumption.

Diagram
Yearly sales 400 300 200 100 0 200 Y1 260 Y2 250 Y3 400 Y4

The steepest upward segment is the largest increase.

Worked examples

Example 1 (difficulty 2/5)
Yearly sales: 200, 260, 250, 400. Between which consecutive years was the largest increase?

Predict the answer first:

Example 2 (difficulty 2/5)
A value rose from 80 in Year 1 to 100 in Year 3. What is the percent increase?

Predict the answer first:

Tips

  • The steepest segment is the fastest change; a falling segment is a decrease.
  • Largest increase biggest consecutive difference, not the tallest point.
  • Percent change always divides by the earlier (old) value.

Common mistakes

Calling the highest point the "biggest increase"
Why: Height grabs attention.
Fix: An increase is a difference between points; compare the steps.
Dividing by the new value for percent change
Why: The latest value is in front of you.
Fix: The base is the earlier value; divide the change by it.
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